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A defence pact between Saudi Arabia, Turkiye and Pakistan establishes a new security alliance seeking to deter a bellicose Iran, offset an unreliable US and send a message to Israel, analysts say.As the Middle East war drags on, this alliance binds three Sunni powers — all allies of the United States — with a Nato-style clause that considers any attack on one country as an attack on all.Analysts doubt this provision will be enforced immediately, however, as the trio seeks a resolution to the war, with Pakistan and Turkiye acting as intermediaries.So what does the agreement mean in practical terms?Nearly six months into the Middle East war, the US has failed to deliver a knockout blow to Iran, and Tehran continues to choke off traffic in the Strait of Hormuz while its Houthi allies disrupt shipping in the Red Sea.This reality has upended the region’s security architecture — forcing a rethink of decades of conventional wisdom rooted in US military supremacy.Despite the archipelago of US bases across the region, American forces have struggled to intercept all of the drones and ballistic missiles fired by Iran and its proxies.The new alliance shows “American deterrence has been significantly weakened and that the Iranian threat will increasingly need to be managed by regional powers”, wrote Ali Shihabi, a political analyst close to the Saudi government.Since the onset of the war, Saudi Arabia has grown closer to Turkiye, with whom it previously had fraught ties, as well as Egypt and Pakistan. The four nations have supported mediation in the conflict.”The three countries are unusually complementary,” said Andreas Krieg, a lecturer in security at King’s College London.Oil-rich Saudi Arabia has wealth “but limited indigenous military-industrial depth”, he told AFP.Turkiye and Pakistan, meanwhile, face finance constrictions, but have powerful militaries.”Turkiye has technology and manufacturing capacity but needs markets and investment. Pakistan has manpower, military institutional depth and nuclear deterrence, but needs financing and industrial opportunities,” he said.The trio cannot replace the United States, but they are bridging a gap because Washington will not “restrain Israel or insulate Gulf infrastructure from Iranian retaliation”.It is in Saudi Arabia’s interest to seek “several layers of security rather than one American umbrella”, Krieg said, with the kingdom at the centre of this new alliance.With these resources combined, the alliance packs a powerful punch, in theory at least.The trio are unlikely to attack Iran should it repeat its strikes on Saudi Arabia.Pakistan, for one, has not hit its neighbour despite signing a similar defence pact with the kingdom last year.”Turkiye and Pakistan will not fight Iran. These countries view themselves as ‘stabilisers’ and want to create a political momentum to push for that,” wrote Asli Aydintasbas, a fellow at the Brookings Institution.Hesham Alghannam, a Saudi security analyst and researcher, agreed that neither country was likely to engage offensively in the short term, but drew a distinction between what the agreement “can deliver now versus what it aspires to become”.”If proxy attacks on Saudi territory continue and escalate, I would expect Pakistan to deepen its air defence and advisory role inside the kingdom, and Turkiye to accelerate defence-industrial transfers,” he said.He added that the “pact changes the calculus for anyone considering continued strikes on Saudi infrastructure”.Saudi Arabia has grown closer to Pakistan and Turkiye as deep divisions plague the Gulf, even as it reels from repeated attacks by Iran and its allies.Saudi Arabia and the UAE were embroiled in a public rift before the war, and though they recently appeared to reconcile, the UAE is likely to be wary of the new pact, analysts say.The US has long sought to build on the Abraham Accords that saw the UAE, Bahrain and others normalise relations with Israel, pushing for a regional alliance that integrates its close ally.But the new defence pact consolidates major US allies into an alternative security architecture that rejects Israel’s hegemony, analysts said.Pakistan and Turkiye have been vocal against Israel, while Saudi Arabia has insisted it will not normalise unless Israel agrees to a path to Palestinian statehood.”Washington would have wanted a security architecture that includes Israel and they’re still keen for Saudi Arabia to normalise ties,” said HA Hellyer of the Royal United Services Institute.”This alliance doesn’t point to that in the slightest.” Related Story Source link
Ben Shelton of the United States watches the ball against Zizou Bergs of Belgium during their third round…
After a month of war with Israel and the United States with no clear end in sight, Iranians tell AFP about how life has changed, about watching missiles fall, and how security forces have tightened their grip.Their names have been changed to protect their identities, as Iran has been arresting and warning citizens about speaking to journalists or sending images outside the country amid an Internet blackout and severe phone network restrictions.Iran was already suffering economically before the war, but the conflict has sparked even higher inflation and brought many industries to a standstill.”My income comes from my online shop, but for the past two months I’ve had no income at all,” Golnar from Tehran told AFP.”In our family, everyone is working and we don’t even pay rent, yet we still can’t think about things like going to restaurants or any kind of leisure activities,” the 29-year-old said. “We can only afford the most basic and essential living expenses.”The island of Qeshm, where 42-year-old Sadeq is based, enjoyed a tourism boom in recent years, but saw few visitors over the usually busy Nowruz holidays marking the Iranian New Year in March.”Our hotel and cafes are half empty. Many people have come here to stay longer, waiting to see what happens with the war,” he said. “We sometimes have to wait for hours to get fuel.”For Shayan in Tehran, there is some normalcy in the shadow of the war.”There is no famine, everything is available. Cafes are open, and we still go out… There is gasoline, water, and electricity. But there is a sense of helplessness in all of us,” the 40-year-old said. “We gather with family and friends, play card games together, and drink. Shops and restaurants are open until 9pm, but the city feels empty, most people have left.”Another Tehran resident originally from Iran’s Kurdish region said she also feels she has grown “used to the situation”.”The noise, the explosions and the missiles are now a part of our daily life… I think little by little it’s becoming more ordinary for everyone,” said the 35-year-old. “Right now, our only worry is that our oil and gas infrastructure might be targeted by missile attacks. I think that’s the one thing all Iranians agree on at the moment.”Katayoon recently left Iran for Turkiye, after several “terrible” months since the protests in January that saw thousands killed in a crackdown.Two nights before departing, the blastwave from an airstrike threw her from her bed.However, her decision to leave was more from “living in fear for at least a decade… from my scarf falling off my head in the street, to not being able to teach the opposite sex, or having basic liberties”, the yoga teacher said.There is fear of bombardments, but “there is no other recourse – people don’t have money to eat. Life has become impossible”, she said.Ensieh, a dentist in the capital, said every day she is “losing more hope”.”We’re caught between three mad powers, and war is terrifying. I know I’ll never be the same person again. War has torn a part of me away, and it’s not coming back,” the 46-year-old said.A 34-year-old resident of Sanandaj in western Iran said the intensity of the attacks had decreased and that in recent days he “realised the Islamic republic will not be overthrown in the way we imagined”.Since the war started, Iranians have reported heavy security in the streets, with limited anti-government demonstrations quickly quelled, while crowds of Islamic republic supporters regularly rally.Out in Tehran, “you’ll likely pass through multiple checkpoints in a single day… Cars are searched, phones are checked”, including photos, hidden files, apps even personal notes, said 38-year-old artist Kaveh.He said groups of armed security forces who have “taken control of the streets” drive through Tehran at night “honking and carrying flags”.At a gathering in Tehran, he said he and other people opposed to the Islamic republic were worried about Washington coming to a deal with the clerical authorities, in power since 1979.”If an agreement is reached, we’ll be doomed. At the very least, we should leave Iran for two or three years,” he said. Source link
The Saudi Ministry of Defence announced today that it intercepted a hostile ballistic missile.Spokesperson of the Ministry of Defense Major General Turki Al-Malki stated that a ballistic missile launched toward Riyadh Region was intercepted and destroyed. Source link
Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov discussed with his Iranian counterpart Abbas Araqchi the possibility of reaching a diplomatic settlement to the escalation in the Middle East.The Russian Foreign Ministry said in a statement that the two ministers discussed in detail the most difficult military and political crisis in the Middle East and exchanged views on the prospects of turning the conflict into a path of political and diplomatic settlement based on international law and taking into account the legitimate interests of all countries in the region. Source link
The Bahraini Ministry of Interior announced this morning that the Civil Defence had brought under control a fire that broke out in one of the facilities following a new Iranian attack. Source link
